PET operates in a world based on intelligence, analyses and assessments. Threat assessments and analytical products are important elements of our operational, intelligence-related and preventive efforts within the fields of counterterrorism and counterintelligence.
Assessments of the espionage and terrorist threat
In January 2022, PET published its Assessment of the Espionage Threat to Denmark. The assessment outlines the threat from foreign intelligence services targeting Denmark.
Centre for Terror Analysis (CTA) publishes an annual Assessment of the Terrorist Threat to Denmark, determining the general terrorist threat level in Denmark and assessing the threat to Danish interests abroad. CTA was set up on 1 January 2007 as a Danish fusion centre for analysis and assessment of the terrorist threat to Denmark and Danish interests abroad.
Specific threat assessments
PET provides regular threat assessments and analyses aimed at preparing society in the best possible way to meet new challenges related to terrorism and espionage, which may emerge with a changing threat picture.
PET’s analyses range from assessments of the threat against specific individuals, locations and events to more generic trend analyses and assessments of phenomena with an impact on the threat to Denmark and Danish interests abroad. The analyses cover a number of topics relating to terrorism – including militant Islamism, political extremism, radicalization, recruitment, networks, modus operandi, terrorist financing as well as other trends which may affect the threat. Counterintelligence analyses deal with more generic trends and themes of relevance to the threat from foreign intelligence activities targeting the Danish Realm, including espionage, illegal procurement, foreign direct investments (FDI), foreign interference as well as harassment of refugees and dissidents. The analyses and threat assessments contain information from all relevant and reliable sources, which, combined, forms the basis for the overall assessments.
The threat assessments and analyses are based on both classified and unclassified information and are primarily for use by PET’s operational departments and external public authorities such as ministries, government agencies and police districts. The analyses and threat assessments are usually classified and therefore not suitable for public disclosure.